Figure 1
Illustration: Carin Cain, after Ref. [12]

Figure 1: This schematic shows increasingly structured and complex ways to model the spread of a disease in a population. Each color represents a disease stage: susceptible, infected, or recovered. (a) Homogeneous mixing models treat each individual at a given disease stage in the same way as the average of all others at that disease stage. Structure can be added by decomposing populations into distinct demographic groups (b), where the spread of a disease will depend on the particular group. (c) In a contact network model, links connect individuals while multiscale models (d) involve connections between subpopulations. (e) Agent-based models can track individuals in very large populations on the order of cities the size of Chicago.